Planning
Forecasting and inventory
Where Group lands on the current trajectory, what changes if the trading levers move, and what stock has to be on the water to serve it.
$34,522,426
95.5%
8.0x
$5,606,481
Thirteen week demand forecast
Base run rate from 21 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026, seasonally adjusted, with an 80% confidence band
Demand drivers
What the forecast is actually made of
Subscription base
34%
high confidence · Recurring shipments, the highest confidence line in the forecast.
Repeat purchase from existing customers
27%
high confidence · Modelled off the repeat curve and time to next order.
Paid media acquisition
18%
medium confidence · Elastic with budget but saturating; response modelled on a 0.7 power curve.
Gifting and Q4 seasonality
12%
medium confidence · November and December run 24% above trend on gifting and bundles.
Organic search and direct
9%
low confidence · Currently under-built, upside is not in the base forecast.
Scenario planner
Move the levers and read the annualised position
Diminishing returns applied at a 0.7 power curve
Bundling, price and attach rate
Checkout, speed and merchandising work
Lifts repeat revenue and lifetime value
Cost of goods, freight and discount depth
Scenario outcome
Annualised against the current plan
Stock position by business
Where the Group's working capital is held, and which business is carrying the reorder risk
Inventory plan by brand
Cover, turnover and suggested purchase orders on forecast demand, each business planned on its own range and lead times · stock at cost $9,370,153
Six month revenue outlook
Monthly, seasonally adjusted, with confidence band
Forecast accuracy backtest
Last six closed months · MAPE 4.5%